Analysis · Floor speech · beta

Christopher Murphy

2233 words · 155 sentences · 194 clauses

Statement grade
B+
Average 83 / 100
A score under 50 is red. Choose a measurement to see where it lost points and why; choose it again to clear.
Claims 61%Procedure 7%Positioning 9%Reasoning 18%Aside 1%Promise 1%The ask 2%

This view breaks the statement into its steps and names what each one does.

Madam President, Claims · 211 wordscolleagues, the Trump administration has us stuck in a humiliating quagmire, a total deadlock in Iran. We are wasting billions of taxpayer dollars dropping bombs and firing missiles at Iran.1 Iran responds with escalation. They keep the strait closed.2 They attack our bases. They attack our allies in the region. The war just expands and expands and expands. In the last week, for instance, a new war is threatening to break out between Yemen and Saudi Arabia, 3which would likely result in the other strait at the bottom of the Red Sea being closed as well. Trump personally pays no price for this stalemate. His corruption schemes, his cryptocurrency, his insider trading, the contracts to his sons, all of that has practically tripled his net worth in just 18 short months in office.4 No, the price of this war is being plainly paid, first and foremost, by our soldiers who are being put in harm’s way for a war that is making America weaker every day. They are getting killed. They are sustaining life-altering injuries. Many of our soldiers and sailors and airmen have been in the region far past their scheduled deployment.5 They haven’t seen their families in years. And, of course, American consumers are paying the price as well. Procedure · 11 wordsHere is the most relevant chart. This is familiar to you.Procedure Claims · 163 wordsThis is what gas prices were doing until the war. They are creeping back well above $4 a gallon right now.6 That is not affordable for regular Americans, especially Americans who have to travel great distances for work, especially small business owners who rely on reasonable gas prices in order to be able to make their bills work. Diesel prices are through the roof as well.7 Fertilizer prices are through the roof as well, all because of this war.8 No other reason--the war.Unearned certainty The prices are this high because of the war. It is farmers, it is small business owners, it is the American public who are paying the price--not Donald Trump. And so that is why the war is just wildly unpopular, like except for Trump’s sort of hard-line supporters, the folks who just don’t believe he can ever do anything wrong, nobody wants this war. If you are in a red State or a blue State, this war is deeply unpopular. Positioning · 18 wordsThe American public is smart; they are smarter than a lot of my colleagues give them credit for.Positioning Claims · 23 wordsThey know a war with Iran is unwinnable.Unearned certainty They don’t want America stuck again in a quagmire, a stalemate in the Middle East. Reasoning · 27 wordsSo how does Trump handle this, a deeply unpopular war, a war that he is losing, a war that is driving up prices for the American public? Procedure · 7 wordsWell, this is how he handles it: ProcedurePositioning · 5 wordsHe gaslights. He tells lies.Positioning Procedure · 6 wordsAnd the essential gaslight is that: ProcedureClaims · 38 wordsThe war is about to end, don’t worry. Yes, it appears that there is no end. It appears that you are going to have to continue to pay these prices forever. It appears that America has no endgame, Procedure · 9 wordsbut, don’t worry, the war is about to end.Procedure Reasoning · 43 wordsAnd so I just want to go through this pattern with you because it is really important to talk about the fact that the White House is just not being straight with the American public about what is going on in this war. Claims · 58 wordsOver and over again the President declares that the war is about to be over. He is not telling the truth. He normally declares that the war is about to be over on Sunday night or Monday morning, right before the markets open. But now that we are 6 months into this war, we can see the pattern.9 Procedure · 8 wordsLet me go through it with you quickly.Procedure Claims · 7 wordsOn March 23, Trump announces a deal.10 Procedure · 15 wordsI am just going to give you his quotes, these are his words. He says: ProcedureClaims · 51 wordsThe market impact is immediate. That post sends oil prices tumbling nearly 11 percent, 11but there is no deal. He just made it up. Two days later, the U.S. military is back to conducting strikes.12 On March 30, Trump announces another deal.13 This is Monday morning right before the markets open. Procedure · 2 wordsHe says: ProcedureClaims · 8 wordsend-- One week later, there is no deal. Procedure · 2 wordsThe opposite.Procedure Claims · 99 wordsOne week later, Trump posts that he is going to wipe out the entire civilization of Iran, ``A whole civilization will die tonight,’’ he posts, ``never to be brought back again.’’14 That is a war crime. The President is promising to kill millions of civilians. He tries to dial it back, but later on that same day he is back to announcing a deal. Literally, ``I am going to wipe out a whole civilization,’’ that morning. That night, on April 17, he says: Five days later, there is no deal. Trump announces a resumption of the war with Iran. Procedure · 9 wordsNow let’s fast-forward 10 days later to April 17.Procedure Claims · 39 wordsHe posts that a deal with Iran is imminent. ``THIS PROCESS SHOULD GO VERY QUICKLY . . .15 MOST OF THE POINTS ARE ALREADY NEGOTIATED,’’ he posts. Two days later, the strikes start again.16 On May 5, Trump says: Procedure · 15 wordsComplete is capitalized; final is capitalized; agreement is capitalized; representatives is capitalized; Iran is capitalized.Procedure Claims · 7 wordsTwo days later, the deal is off.17 Aside · 2 wordsSurprise, surprise.Aside Claims · 63 wordsEvery time Trump announces a deal is imminent, it just disappears. ``U.S. forces intercepted unprovoked Iranian attacks and responded with self-defense strikes,’’ CENTCOM announces 2 days later.18 On May 25, right before the markets open: A deal is imminent. Right before the markets open. That same day the U.S. military conducts strikes on Iran: Next Monday, right before the markets open, Trump posts: Positioning · 20 wordsHow is this working out well for the American public? How is that working out well for the American public?Positioning Claims · 139 wordsThe next day there is no deal. The United States conducts strikes against Iran. On June 17, Trump actually signs the deal, 19but it is not a real deal. He does this whole pomp and circumstance signing ceremony in Versailles. That deal was negotiated by diplomatic amateurs. There was nothing actually agreed to. There were words on a page, but from the literal moment the ink was dry, nobody could explain what they had agreed to. Most significantly, Iran thought that the agreement obligated Israel to stop its military operations in Lebanon. Israel did not agree to that. Iran thought that it had been given control of the strait in that agreement; apparently the American delegation didn’t think they made that concession. Anyway, that agreement lasts 10 days.20 On June 27, Trump posts that strikes on Iran have resumed.21 Procedure · 13 wordsLet’s just fast-forward to the last week because Trump is doing it again.Procedure Aside · 15 wordsOn August 1, Trump posts--I am not sure that I transcribed this wrong or not, AsideProcedure · 6 wordsbut it looks like it says: ProcedureAside · 8 wordsI will give him credit he said parameters.Aside Claims · 68 wordsOn August 2, ``The deal is imminent, having to do with the [Strait of Hormuz] and also, ultimately, the denuclearization of Iran.’’22 The deal is imminent on the denuclearization of Iran. August 4, just a night or two ago, Trump tells Fox News: Meanwhile, there were reports that Iran isn’t even talking to the United States. Trump is saying a deal on the denuclearization of Iran is imminent, Procedure · 4 wordsand Iran is saying: ProcedureClaims · 7 wordsWe are not even in the room. Reasoning · 18 wordsI mean, we should not accept this level of gaslighting. The word of the President has to matter. Claims · 36 wordsOver and over again on 11 different instances, Trump says: A deal is about to happen, don’t worry; the war is about to be over. There is no deal. None of it is real, these promises. Procedure · 12 wordsI wish it were real. I want to be clear about that.Procedure Claims · 6 wordsI want the war to end. Promise · 13 wordsI would basically support any agreement at this point to end this war. Claims · 26 wordsI was glad that the President got a cease-fire, but I could tell by the terms it wasn’t going to last. It wasn’t a real agreement. Promise · 14 wordsBut at this point, many of us are willing to support almost any agreement. Claims · 96 wordsIt will be a humiliating agreement. It will be one in which Iran will essentially declare victory. But this war is a disaster. America is losing. Consumers can’t afford to pay these prices. Businesses are going under. We had a record of farm bankruptcies in the last year.23 We look like a laughingstock, and we are running out of munitions. We don’t have what we need to protect ourselves anymore. Reports are that we have gone through half of our Tomahawks.24 Our allies in the region have fired 70 to 80 percent of their Patriot missiles.25 Positioning · 4 wordsThis is a crisis.Positioning Reasoning · 24 wordsIt has to end. But maybe there is an explanation for why Trump continues to do this gaslighting, particularly right before the markets open. Claims · 27 wordsTrump announced now a week or so ago that if you pay him $100,000 a month, he will give you advance notice of American foreign policy decisions.26 Positioning · 12 wordsI don’t understand why that is acceptable to anybody in this Chamber.Positioning Claims · 146 wordsIf you pay Donald Trump $100,000, he will give you advance notice of America’s foreign policy decisions. If we are about to sign a peace treaty, and you give him $100,000 a month, he will give you advance notice of that. If strikes are going to resume against Iran, if you pay him $100,000 a month, he will give you advance notice of that. That is a subscription service for insider trading, and it is unquestionably lucrative. On August 1, Trump posts that a deal is imminent. Remember, people still take him seriously. Not everybody knows about this history of gaslighting. On August 1, Trump says that a deal is imminent, and the market impact is immediate. Oil prices fall by 5 percent right as the markets open.27 The next day, right before the markets open, Trump says again ``The deal is imminent’’--another 5 percent drop.28 Reasoning · 94 wordsAnd so you see how his statements move the market, and you can see how if you get advance notice of those statements, even by a few seconds, you can capitalize on that market movement. You know that if Trump says a deal is imminent and the markets are going to move 5 percent and you pay $100,000 to Donald Trump to get that information early, you can make a boatload of money. And so maybe the war continues because Trump has found a way to monetize the war in a disgustingly corrupt way. Procedure · 13 wordsI get that at some point we become immune to all of this, ProcedurePositioning · 79 wordsbut can any of my Republican colleagues defend the President selling announcements from the White House for $100,000 a month in the middle of a war? Is any Republican Senator willing to come down to this floor and defend the President of the United States setting up a subscription service for public policy announcements from the White House so as to advantage certain players in the marketplace who are willing to pay that amount of money? Of course not.PositioningUnearned certainty Reasoning · 43 wordsAnd if you know in your heart that it is corrupt, that it is wrong, then you should say something about it because the war might be continuing--not just because of incompetence but because the President has found a way to make money. Claims · 28 wordsMore people are going to pay him $100,000 for these announcements in the middle of a war. Frankly, people would be willing to pay it absent a war, Reasoning · 45 wordsbut he will make more money during a war because his announcements clearly move the markets in the middle of a very complicated conflict where the decisions of the U.S. Government immediately change oil markets. The reason this war is dragging on endlessly--it does matter, The ask · 11 wordsand my colleagues should care about Trump’s insider trading subscription scheme. Positioning · 64 wordsIt is just so discouraging that nobody on the other side of the aisle says anything about this when the credibility of the White House and of our country is just getting destroyed and sullied. But my Republican colleagues should also care that the war is being waged with a level of embarrassing incompetence that is making America weaker, that is getting us nowhere.Positioning Reasoning · 107 wordsThis body works best when the President’s party stands up to him and says ``enough,’’ whether it is corruption or incompetence. That is what Johnson’s party did during the Vietnam war.29 It is actually what the Democratic Party did with President Obama during the late stages of the Afghanistan war when many of us decided that America had to withdraw and opposed President Obama’s party. It is what many of us did here during the early stages of the war in Yemen that President Obama was bringing the American military into. Many of us opposed it, got up on this floor and explained why we opposed it. Positioning · 5 wordsRepublicans can do that too.Positioning The ask · 42 wordsYou can say that this war has to end. You can say that the President should never ever personally benefit from a conflict overseas. You can say that the President of the United States should not sell access to White House statements. Claims · 26 wordsIt would make a big difference for our democracy and for the American people, who are paying through the nose for the cost of this war, Procedure · 16 wordsif you did. I yield the floor. The PRESIDING OFFICER (Ms. Lummis). The Senator from Florida.Procedure

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